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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Seattle

Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Colorado
Saturday, March 16 at 7.55pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Seattle Sounders

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have both stumbled into the new campaign and will be looking to find their feet this weekend. The Quakes' home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we finally see them ending their losing streak in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
43.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 25.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.31% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.164 0.16)47.38% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.152 0.15)69.6% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)54.91% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (0.158 0.16)28.49% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (0.198 0.2)64.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 43.58%
    Seattle Sounders 31.31%
    Draw 25.11%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.31%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
57.6%
Draw
39.4%
Seattle Sounders
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Seattle
Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-1
Earthquakes

Roldan (19'), Ragen (43'), Atencio (87')
Ebobisse (48')
Marie (66'), Yueill (77')
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
4-3
Seattle
Espinoza (45+2', 64', 90+4' pen.), Yueill (65')
Lodeiro (14' pen.), Roldan (20'), Morris (57')
Sep 30, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 37
Earthquakes
1-3
Seattle
O'Neill (51' og.)
Ruidiaz (25', 42'), Roldan (49')
Roldan (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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