National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
Spennymoor2 - 3Buxton
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Buxton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gloucester City 4-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Buxton
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
Result | ||
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
37.24% ( 0.08) | 25.31% ( -0.01) | 37.44% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( 0.06) | 47.09% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( 0.05) | 69.33% ( -0.05) |
Spennymoor Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( 0.07) | 24.79% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.1) | 59.36% ( -0.1) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -0.01) | 24.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% ( -0.02) | 59.21% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Spennymoor Town 37.24%
Buxton 37.44%
Draw 25.3%
Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.44% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-29 00:40:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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