Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 39.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.92%) and 3-2 (4.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.