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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cash (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Joao Pedro scores a late winner to fire Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
46.41% (1.128 1.13) 22.75% (-0.229 -0.23) 30.83% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 64.1% (0.365 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (0.682 0.68)36.59% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.74 0.74)58.74% (-0.744 -0.74)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (0.68600000000001 0.69)16.22% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (1.241 1.24)45.72% (-1.243 -1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)23.48% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.285 -0.29)57.5% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.41%
    Aston Villa 30.83%
    Draw 22.75%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.83%

How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
14.0%
Draw
14.0%
Aston Villa
71.9%
242
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton
Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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