Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 70.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
70.16% ( 0.01) | 18.33% ( -0) | 11.5% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 46.98% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( 0.01) | 43.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( 0.02) | 66.1% ( -0.01) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.75% ( 0.01) | 11.25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.17% ( 0.01) | 35.83% ( -0.01) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.93% ( 0.01) | 47.07% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.46% ( 0) | 82.54% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-0 @ 12.63% 1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.15% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.33% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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