Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Bournemouth |
38.68% ( -0.38) | 23.06% ( 0.19) | 38.25% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 65.13% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.86% ( -0.94) | 36.14% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.75% ( -1.04) | 58.25% ( 1.04) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( -0.58) | 19.2% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( -0.96) | 50.89% ( 0.96) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.32) | 19.4% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( -0.53) | 51.21% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 38.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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