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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

Gueye (60')
Tarkowski (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reguilon (43'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Everton confirm their Premier League survival with a 1-0 win over Brentford, who succumb to an Idrissa Gueye effort at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 30.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)48.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (-0.09 -0.09)70.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)29.19% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.142 -0.14)65.13% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.95%
    Brentford 30.81%
    Draw 25.23%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
64.5%
Draw
23.7%
Brentford
11.8%
186
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Brentford
1-3
Everton
Jensen (28')
Mbeumo (77'), Ghoddos (82')
Doucoure (6'), Tarkowski (67'), Calvert-Lewin (71')
Young (1'), Branthwaite (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Brentford
1-1
Everton
Janelt (84')
Wissa (54'), Hickey (90+5')
Gordon (24')
Pickford (81'), Gordon (90+3')
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 37
Everton
2-3
Brentford
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (45+2' pen.)
Branthwaite (18'), Rondon (88')
Coleman (37' og.), Wissa (62'), Henry (64')
Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Everton
4-1
Brentford
Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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