Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 33% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
42.52% ( 0.04) | 24.48% ( -0.04) | 33% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.09% ( 0.17) | 43.91% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.7% ( 0.16) | 66.3% ( -0.16) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( 0.09) | 20.76% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( 0.14) | 53.4% ( -0.14) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 0.08) | 25.73% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% ( 0.1) | 60.66% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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