MX23RW : Sunday, June 9 00:06:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Portimonense

Estoril
0 - 1
Portimonense

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cariello (79')
Mauricio (24'), Junior (47'), Ventura (67'), Costa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Portimonense

Both teams have struggled for goals this season, so a low-scoring affair is on the cards here. Having said that, we just about fancy the hosts to secure all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
43.96% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 25.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 30.62% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)49.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.084 -0.08)71.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.25% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.129 -0.13)55.69% (0.129 0.13)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 43.96%
    Portimonense 30.62%
    Draw 25.42%
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Estoril vs Portimonense

Estoril Praia
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Portimonense
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Jocu (24')
Erison (22')
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
Apr 14, 2018 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Estoril

Sa (84')
Halliche (42')
Ribeiro (77'), Dankler (95'), Fonseca (97')
Andrade (77')
Dec 4, 2017 8pm
Estoril
0-0
Portimonense

Joel (80')

Hackman (31'), Possignolo (34'), Tabata (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!