Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
43.96% ( -0.1) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 30.62% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.99% ( -0.09) | 49.01% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.91% ( -0.08) | 71.09% ( 0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -0.08) | 22.25% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( -0.13) | 55.69% ( 0.13) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% | 29.77% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0) | 65.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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