Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.36%. A draw has a probability of 8.3% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 4.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.59%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-2 (1.4%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
87.36% ( -0.1) | 8.29% ( 0.06) | 4.35% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.84% ( -0.14) | 19.15% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.12% ( -0.2) | 36.88% ( 0.2) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.18% ( -0.03) | 2.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.13% ( -0.12) | 12.86% ( 0.12) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.01% ( 0.01) | 45.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.29% ( 0.01) | 81.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
3-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 6-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.33% Total : 87.36% | 1-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 8.29% | 1-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 4.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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