MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 09:44:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-3 Al-Hilal

Buoyed by their impressive victory over Damac, Al-Ahli will head into Monday's game looking to dent Al-Hilal's title charge. However, Jesus's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
22.68% (-0.361 -0.36) 24.14% (0.539 0.54) 53.17% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-2.151 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-2.636 -2.64)49.31% (2.627 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-2.423 -2.42)71.36% (2.414 2.41)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-1.795 -1.8)36.28% (1.786 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-1.866 -1.87)73.06% (1.856 1.86)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51% (-1.057 -1.06)18.48% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.3% (-1.81 -1.81)49.69% (1.801 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 22.68%
    Al-Hilal 53.17%
    Draw 24.13%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 5.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.68%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.692 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.382 0.38)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.38% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.17%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Hilal

Al-Ahli
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal31292095207589
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3188153948-932
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3177173058-2828
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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