Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
72.5% ( -0.09) | 18.07% ( 0.03) | 9.43% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 40.47% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% ( 0.07) | 48.35% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% ( 0.07) | 70.49% ( -0.07) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.08% ( -0) | 11.92% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.72% ( -0.01) | 37.28% ( 0.01) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.94% ( 0.18) | 54.06% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.69% ( 0.11) | 87.31% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 72.48% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.07% | 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 9.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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