Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
69.61% ( 1.39) | 17.7% ( -0.46) | 12.69% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( -0.1) | 37.61% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( -0.11) | 59.84% ( 0.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( 0.31) | 9.73% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.6% ( 0.71) | 32.4% ( -0.71) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.87% ( -1.46) | 41.13% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% ( -1.32) | 77.67% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.7% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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