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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Spezia Calcio logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Spezia

Wisniewski (25' og.)
Italiano (62+62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (32')
Maldini (35'), Gyasi (45+1'), N'Zola (45'), Ampadu (63'), Bastoni (68'), Ekdal (72'), Wisniewski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Spezia

Italiano's troops are flying at the moment, and only a disastrous showing against Spezia would see them drop points in the league on their turf. With Fiorentina winning four of their last four against the Aquilotti in the competition, this should become five successive victories against a struggling side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
76.98% (0.012 0.01) 14.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01) 8.27% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.11%7.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 76.97%
    Spezia 8.28%
    Draw 14.74%
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.47%
3-0 @ 10.56%
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.7%
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 76.97%
1-1 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 14.74%
0-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 8.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Spezia

Fiorentina
87.2%
Draw
8.5%
Spezia
4.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
N'Zola (35')
Nikolaou (7')
Milenkovic (14'), Cabral (90')
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
Agudelo (74')
Reca (78'), Amian (84')
Piatek (42'), Amrabat (89')
Castrovilli (67')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')
Feb 19, 2021 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Fiorentina
Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')
Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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