Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
76.8% | 14.62% | 8.58% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% | 35.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.88% | 57.11% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.49% | 7.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.04% | 26.95% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.92% | 47.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.45% | 82.54% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 11.85% 3-0 @ 10.22% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.62% 4-1 @ 4.99% 5-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.88% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.96% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 6.9% 0-0 @ 3.54% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.83% Total : 14.62% | 0-1 @ 2.66% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 8.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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