Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
20.16% ( -0.02) | 22.6% ( -0.01) | 57.25% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.19% ( 0.02) | 45.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% ( 0.02) | 68.12% ( -0.02) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% ( -0.01) | 36.79% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.42% ( -0.01) | 73.58% ( 0.02) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( 0.02) | 15.75% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.13% ( 0.04) | 44.87% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.16% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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