Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.