Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
32.72% ( -0.74) | 27.34% ( -0.08) | 39.94% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( 0.16) | 56.08% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.13) | 77.16% ( -0.13) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.09% ( -0.42) | 31.91% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.64% ( -0.48) | 68.36% ( 0.48) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( 0.54) | 27.47% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( 0.69) | 62.96% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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