Genoa have been the draw specialists under their new manager, and we are expecting another stalemate here. Verona have won eight home league matches this term, but Genoa are proving very difficult to beat at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
