MX23RW : Sunday, June 9 17:38:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Defensor

Nacional
1 - 0
Defensor

Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: La Luz 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 River Plate
Thursday, November 30 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
40.61% (-0.831 -0.83) 26.83% (0.313 0.31) 32.55% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-1.112 -1.11)54.17% (1.116 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (-0.937 -0.94)75.58% (0.94099999999999 0.94)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.944 -0.94)26.21% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-1.286 -1.29)61.31% (1.29 1.29)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)31.06% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.247 -0.25)67.37% (0.25099999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 40.61%
    Defensor Sporting 32.55%
    Draw 26.83%
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.354 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.176 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Defensor
0-1
Nacional

Rocha (63')
Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')
May 14, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 12
Defensor
0-2
Nacional

Mallo (68'), Balboa (85'), Sant'Anna (85')
Gigliotti (5'), Candido (77')
Monzeglio (23'), Trezza (40'), Coelho (53'), Gigliotti (87')
Mar 8, 2021 12.45am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor11002023
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers11002023
3Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
4ProgresoProgreso00000000
5River PlateRiver Plate00000000
6FenixFenix100112-10
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado100102-20
8PenarolPenarol100102-20
Group 2
1Miramar Misiones11001013
2Cerro Largo10102201
3DanubioDanubio10102201
4CerroCerro00000000
5NacionalNacional00000000
6Boston RiverBoston River00000000
7Rampla JuniorsRampla00000000
8LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!