World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Burundi1 - 2Gabon
FT(HT: 0-1)
Allevinah (35'), Bouanga (83')
Obiang (41'), Ecuele Manga (43'), Loufilou (45+2'), Moucketou-Moussounda (85')
Obiang (41'), Ecuele Manga (43'), Loufilou (45+2'), Moucketou-Moussounda (85')
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Burundi 0-1 Gabon
The last three meetings between Sunday's opponents have produced a combined four goals, and we are anticipating another low-scoring affair here. That said, we can see Gabon getting the job done by a narrow margin in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.
Result | ||
Burundi | Draw | Gabon |
32.86% ( 0.14) | 28.57% ( 0.02) | 38.57% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.44% ( -0.04) | 60.55% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.34% ( -0.03) | 80.66% ( 0.03) |
Burundi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.86% ( 0.08) | 34.14% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.17% ( 0.09) | 70.83% ( -0.09) |
Gabon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.11) | 30.43% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( -0.14) | 66.64% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Burundi 32.85%
Gabon 38.57%
Draw 28.57%
Burundi | Draw | Gabon |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.57% |
How you voted: Burundi vs Gabon
Burundi
23.8%Draw
33.3%Gabon
42.9%21
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2014 6pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-28 23:52:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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