Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.