Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
