Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamburger SV in this match.