Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.52% ( -0.08) | 21.8% ( 0.02) | 20.68% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% ( -0.01) | 41.53% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% ( -0.01) | 63.93% ( 0.01) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.03) | 14.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% ( -0.05) | 41.94% ( 0.05) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.05) | 33.81% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( 0.06) | 70.48% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 20.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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