Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
45.57% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( -0) | 31.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 64.16% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.31% ( 0.02) | 36.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.15% ( 0.02) | 58.85% ( -0.01) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% ( 0) | 16.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.64% ( 0) | 46.36% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( 0.02) | 23.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( 0.02) | 56.94% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 4.44% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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