Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
33.75% ( 1.27) | 22.92% ( -0.04) | 43.32% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 64.83% ( 0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.81% ( 0.68) | 36.2% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.69% ( 0.74) | 58.31% ( -0.74) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( 1.02) | 21.65% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( 1.54) | 54.78% ( -1.54) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0.21) | 17.25% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.43% ( -0.38) | 47.57% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.57% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.18% Total : 43.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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