Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
55.6% ( -0.23) | 21.01% ( 0.05) | 23.39% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 63.61% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.68% ( -0.02) | 34.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.77% ( -0.02) | 56.23% ( 0.02) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.58% ( -0.07) | 12.41% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.68% ( -0.15) | 38.31% ( 0.15) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( 0.14) | 27.37% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% ( 0.18) | 62.83% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 23.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
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