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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 28
Jul 25, 2020 at 10.35am UK
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne
Western United

Victory
1 - 2
Western Utd

Roux (83')
Anderson (14'), Basha (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Uskok (38'), Burgess (57')
Diamanti (65'), Imai (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
47.75%24.13%28.12%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31%44.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95%67.05%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17%18.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72%50.28%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67%29.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7%65.3%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 47.75%
    Western United 28.12%
    Draw 24.13%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 5.26%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2019 5am
Gameweek 9
Western Utd
3-1
Victory
Berisha (17', 43'), Kone (24')
Diamanti (45'), Gulum (63'), Aspropotamitis (75'), Skotadis (84'), Hamill (85')
Nabbout (14')
Traore (29'), Donachie (53')
Nov 2, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 4
Victory
2-3
Western Utd
Toivonen (6'), Dobras (7')
Diamanti (16'), Donachie (29' og.), McDonald (51')
Pain (11'), Risdon (75'), Jertec (82'), Berisha (89')
rhs 2.0
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