Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
27.66% ( -0.03) | 25.55% ( 0) | 46.79% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.94% ( -0.02) | 51.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( -0.02) | 72.91% ( 0.02) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% ( -0.03) | 32.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% ( -0.03) | 69.57% ( 0.04) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.01) | 21.82% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0.01) | 55.04% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |