African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Algeria1 - 0Ethiopia
Form, Standings, Stats
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Riding on the wave of the home support, Algeria have an impressive added advantage here and will be looking to back up Friday's display with another show of class. While we expect Ethiopia to put up a fight, we are backing Bougherra's side to pick up where they dropped off and claim all three points on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Ethiopia |
69.78% ( 0.17) | 19.65% ( -0.2) | 10.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.87% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
