MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 19:33:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Fernandez (11'), Rojo (58'), Villa (68')
Fabra (3'), Fernandez (20'), Zambrano (45+5'), Payero (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morel (76')
Morel (28'), Castro (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-1 Barracas Central
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Estudiantes

 There is very little to separate the teams right now and either of them could end up victorious in this one. However, we just about fancy Boca Junior to see off the threat of Estudiantes, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
61.7% (-0.122 -0.12) 22.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 16.09% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (0.232 0.23)50.34% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.206 0.21)72.28% (-0.205 -0.2)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.040000000000006 0.04)15.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.070999999999998 0.07)44.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (0.306 0.31)44.2% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.249 0.25)80.29% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 61.69%
    Estudiantes 16.09%
    Draw 22.2%
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.09%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estudiantes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
0-1
Boca Juniors

Godoy (8'), Morel (45')
Advincula (54')
Molinas (15'), Fabra (41'), Advincula (43'), Rojo (50'), Fernandez (68'), Orsini (89')
Aug 15, 2021 10pm
Estudiantes
1-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (76')
Sanchez Mino (42'), Noguera (63'), Del Prete (90+1')

Rojo (65')
Sep 16, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-0
Estudiantes
Reynoso (4')
Marcone (14'), Weigandt (20'), Capaldo (31'), Fabra (69')

Gomez (18'), Kalinski (45')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Estudiantes
2-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (58'), Pellegrini (75')
Apaolaza (32'), Luguercio (65'), Pellegrini (94')

Nandez (24'), Goltz (32'), Barrios (49'), Perez (78'), Zarate (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate22006066
2TalleresTalleres22005146
3EstudiantesEstudiantes22003036
4Racing ClubRacing21107434
5HuracanHuracan21104224
6GimnasiaGimnasia21104224
7Independiente Rivadavia21102024
8Instituto21103214
9UnionUnion21102114
10Barracas Central21102114
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB11002023
12Boca Juniors21014313
13Deportivo Riestra210112-13
14Atletico TucumanTucuman210112-13
15Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs210135-23
16Rosario CentralRosario201134-11
17Sarmiento201123-11
18San Lorenzo201112-11
19TigreTigre201112-11
20BanfieldBanfield201112-11
21Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
22Defensa y JusticiaDefensa201124-21
23IndependienteIndependiente201113-21
24LanusLanus201113-21
25Platense201102-21
26BelgranoBelgrano201147-31
27Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield100113-20
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba200227-50
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!