MX23RW : Monday, May 13 07:19:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 3
Boca Juniors

Castillo (90')
Bazzi (20'), Lescano (85'), Ramirez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merentiel (39'), Medina (74'), Benedetto (76')
Fabra (24'), Fernandez (28'), Benedetto (88'), Varela (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Huracan
Monday, July 10 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-1 Boca Juniors

As Boca have not fared well on the road - winning just three away games in the league this year - Gimnasia can make their defensive solidity at El Bosque pay this weekend. The hosts have conceded just eight times in 11 home matches, so a share of the spoils could be on the cards for Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawBoca Juniors
35.82% (0.537 0.54) 31.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 32.32% (-0.573 -0.57)
Both teams to score 37.41% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.45% (-0.136 -0.14)70.55% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.42% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)87.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (0.297 0.3)37.55% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (0.289 0.29)74.34% (-0.286 -0.29)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.511 -0.51)40.09% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.473 -0.47)76.74% (0.474 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 35.81%
    Boca Juniors 32.31%
    Draw 31.85%
GimnasiaDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.74% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.151 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 35.81%
0-0 @ 15.05% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.85%
0-1 @ 13.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Boca Juniors

Gimnasia
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Boca Juniors
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
Gimnasia
1-2
Boca Juniors
Morales (57')
Fabra (38'), Langoni (66')
Oct 31, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
0-1
Gimnasia
Pavon (90+2')
Cecchini (64')
Aleman (67')
Feb 14, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
2-2
Gimnasia
Izquierdoz (42'), Cardona (85')
Varela (66'), Medina (90+1')
Guiffrey (45+1'), Aleman (63')
Mar 8, 2020 12am
Gameweek 23
Boca Juniors
1-0
Gimnasia
Tevez (73')
Fabra (18'), Tevez (74'), Salvio (81'), Capaldo (90')

Goltz (67'), Licht (86'), Ayala (90')
Oct 27, 2018 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Gimnasia
2-1
Boca Juniors
Faravelli (11'), Comba (49')
Rinaudo (20'), Bonifacio (87')
Espinoza (44')
Reynoso (18'), Mas (38'), Cardona (41'), Goltz (45'), Gago (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!