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San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Arsenal

Vombergar (57')
Vombergar (13')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nahuel Banega (10'), Centurion (45+3')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 3-0 Aldosivi
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 25 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawArsenal Sarandi
47.52% (-2.219 -2.22) 28.15% (0.502 0.5) 24.33% (1.715 1.72)
Both teams to score 42.54% (0.349 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.54% (-0.41 -0.41)62.46% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.92% (-0.302 -0.3)82.07% (0.3 0.3)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-1.263 -1.26)26.48% (1.26 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-1.709 -1.71)61.66% (1.707 1.71)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (1.441 1.44)42.14% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (1.222 1.22)78.56% (-1.224 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 47.51%
    Arsenal Sarandi 24.33%
    Draw 28.14%
San LorenzoDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.82% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.577 -0.58)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 11.15% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.515 0.51)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.315 0.32)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.376 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 24.33%

Head to Head
Jun 14, 2022 7pm
San Lorenzo
3-3
Arsenal
Ortigoza (57' pen.), Elias (60'), Leguizamon (68')
Braida (58')
Suarez (20'), Colman (76', 78')
Perez (8')
Jul 18, 2021 7.45pm
Arsenal
1-1
San Lorenzo
Carabajal (69')
Carabajal (41'), Navas (57')
Carabajal (90+3')
Fernandez (17')
Ortigoza (24'), Gordillo (37'), Rojas (75'), Peruzzi (76')
Rojas (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 12.30am
San Lorenzo
2-1
Arsenal
Pitton (5'), Di Santo (9')
Pitton (86')
Navas (31')
Ruiz (12'), Castro (35'), Navas (58'), Mendez (61'), Necul (88'), Navarro (90+4')
Aug 24, 2019 1am
Arsenal
0-2
San Lorenzo

Alvarez Suarez (25'), Sbuttoni (83')
Alvarez Suarez (55')
Ramirez (33'), Blandi (44')
Senesi (29'), Menossi (47')
rhs 2.0
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First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


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