Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Standard Liege in this match.