Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.