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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jun 2, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Perth Glory

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Aspropotamitis (51' og.), Danzaki (73')
Akbari (30'), O'Shea (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wilson (85')
Fornaroli (33')

Preview: Brisbane Roar vs. Perth Glory - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With a playoff berth on the line, Brisbane Roar welcome Perth Glory to the Suncorp Stadium on Wednesday in their penultimate A-league fixture of the regular season.

The home side are also looking to exact revenge on their visitors following a 3-1 defeat in February's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Perth Glory manager Richard Garcia pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Perth Glory were involved in a share of the spoils for the second game running as they played out a 1-1 draw against Wellington Phoenix on Sunday.

Tomer Hemed's first-half strike was cancelled out just past the hour mark by Bruno Fornaroli, after which Callum Timmins opened his account for the campaign to give Richard Garcia's men the lead in the 74th minute.

That advantage only lasted for a while courtesy of Jaushua Sotirio's leveller with 10 minutes left in which Ulises Davila squandered a chance to give his side all three points from the spot.

The Glory have now gone six league games without tasting defeat, picking up 14 points from an available 18 in that span.

However, they are still four points away from the last playoff spot and need to secure maximum points from their last two matches to stand any chance of qualifying.

Brisbane Roar failed to record a third consecutive victory as they were beaten 2-0 by Western Sydney Wanderers on Sunday.

Goals in either half from Bernie Ibini and Bruce Kamau condemned Warren Moon's men to a seventh loss of the campaign.

Nonetheless, The Roar currently occupy the last playoff spot, two points ahead of their nearest challengers with a game in hand.

Wednesday's visitors only need three points from their final two games to make the playoffs for the 10th time in the last 11 years.

Brisbane Roar Australian A-League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Perth Glory Australian A-League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Perth Glory players pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Bruno Fornaroli is now up to 12 league goals this term following his equaliser last time out, one shy of last campaign's tally of 13.

With only a four-day recovery window from the last game, Richard Garcia could make some alterations to his starting XI for this one.

Riku Danzaki has been instrumental to the away side's push for a spot in the post-season having scored in six of their 10 A-league victories.

His eight goals in general have been worth 11 points, which is remarkable especially for a 21-year-old in his first full top-flight season.

Kai Trewin is expected to fill in for Tom Aldred after coming on as a first-half substitute for his Scottish teammate in the last match.

Brisbane Roar possible starting lineup:
Young; Brown, Gillesphey, Trewin, Neville; Champness, Akbari, O'Shea, Brindell-South; Parsons, Danzaki

Perth Glory possible starting lineup:
Reddy; Lachman, Aspropotamitis, Geria; Ota, Bodnar, Timmins, Ingham; Castro, Keogh, Chianese


SM words green background

We say: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Perth Glory

Both sides have it all to play for in this one as the season reaches its conclusion. We are anticipating an end-to-end and entertaining affair with the teams having to settle for a point apiece in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory

Brisbane Roar
45.3%
Draw
25.0%
Perth Glory
29.7%
64
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Carl Robinson, now in charge of Western Sydney Wanderers, pictured in 2017
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