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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05

Petersen (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
41.24%25.72%33.04%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56%49.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52%71.48%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1%57.9%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.24%
    Mainz 05 33.04%
    Draw 25.71%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
1-2
Freiburg
Mateta (82')
Baku (26'), Hack (40'), Kunde (51'), Niakhate (82')
Chang-Hoon (28'), Petersen (41')
Haberer (37'), Abrashi (82')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-0
Mainz
Holer (81'), Schmid (84'), Waldschmidt (87' pen.)
Lienhart (62')

St Juste (11'), Latza (30'), Fernandes (34')
Apr 5, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Mainz
5-0
Freiburg
Boetius (20'), Mateta (25', 33', 77'), Onisiwo (73')
Kunde (41'), Latza (57'), Maxim (64')

Hofler (45')
Nov 10, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Sallai (72')
Hofler (67'), Gulde (77')
Gbamin (6'), Mateta (18'), Onisiwo (75')
Onisiwo (84')
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Mainz
2-0
Freiburg
De Blasis (45' pen., 79')
Balogun (75')

Haberer (30'), Gulde (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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