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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.73% ( -0.49) | 23.93% ( -0) | 34.34% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( 0.15) | 40.96% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.64% ( 0.15) | 63.35% ( -0.15) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( -0.15) | 19.88% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48% ( -0.25) | 52% ( 0.25) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.44% ( 0.35) | 23.56% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.38% ( 0.5) | 57.61% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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