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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Heidenheim |
54.91% ( -0.68) | 21.63% ( 0.24) | 23.45% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.71% ( -0.63) | 37.28% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.5% ( -0.68) | 59.49% ( 0.68) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% ( -0.42) | 13.6% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.26% ( -0.84) | 40.74% ( 0.84) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( 0.01) | 28.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% ( 0.01) | 64.85% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 23.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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