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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Soares (19'), Horn (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 VfL Bochum

Bochum should be better organised and more motivated in Letsch's first game in charge of them, but we are struggling to see beyond a comfortable home win. After an unconvincing start to the campaign, Leipzig know that they need to start winning more matches sooner rather than later, and are unlikely to pass up a golden opportunity on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
66.74% (0.842 0.84) 18.18% (-0.333 -0.33) 15.07% (-0.506 -0.51)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (0.554 0.55)34.21% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.89% (0.624 0.62)56.1% (-0.621 -0.62)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (0.35000000000001 0.35)9.5% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.14% (0.81700000000001 0.82)31.86% (-0.815 -0.81)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.277 -0.28)35.57% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.287 -0.29)72.34% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 66.75%
    VfL Bochum 15.07%
    Draw 18.18%
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.59% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.086 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.097 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 66.75%
1-1 @ 8.22% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.18%
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.07%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
83.8%
Draw
10.3%
VfL Bochum
5.9%
68
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 3, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Haidara (11'), Sabitzer (45+1' pen.), Poulsen (66', 75')
Angelino (60'), Hee-chan (88')

Masovic (24'), Drewes (45+1'), Soares (63'), Raman Chibsah (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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