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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
32.72% ( 0.22) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 42.01% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( 0.45) | 47.57% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.41) | 69.78% ( -0.41) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 0.36) | 27.67% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( 0.13) | 22.56% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( 0.2) | 56.15% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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