MX23RW : Friday, May 10 15:09:10| >> :120:7148:7148:
Celtic logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Real Madrid logo

Celtic
0 - 3
Real Madrid


Maeda (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (56'), Modric (60'), Hazard (77')
Mendy (10')

The Match

Team News

Celtic striker Giorgos Giakoumakis replaces Kyogo Furuhashi in the starting lineup for Tuesday's Champions League Group H encounter at home to holders Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Celtic.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Rangers
Saturday, September 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 1-2 Real Madrid

This has all of the makings of a brilliant match, and we are expecting an entertaining contest on Tuesday night. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw or a Celtic win in Glasgow, but we just have a feeling that Real Madrid's quality and experience will allow them to secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawReal Madrid
31.07% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 20.41% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 48.52% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 73.34% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.3% (-0.12 -0.12)24.7% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.47% (-0.158 -0.16)44.53% (0.164 0.16)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (-0.107 -0.11)17.48% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.03% (-0.189 -0.19)47.97% (0.195 0.2)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)11.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.44% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)35.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 31.07%
    Real Madrid 48.52%
    Draw 20.41%
CelticDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 31.07%
1-1 @ 7.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 3.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 5.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.44%
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 48.52%

How you voted: Celtic vs Real Madrid

Celtic
23.5%
Draw
13.8%
Real Madrid
62.8%
647
rhs 2.0
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