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Champions League
Midtjylland
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
1 - 1
Larnaca

Sviatchenko (84')
Onyedika (19'), Charles (57'), Lind (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gyurcso (81')
Milicevic (47'), Piric (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Midtjylland and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

Last Six:
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Randers
Friday, July 15 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

AEK Larnaca

Last Six:
    Last Game: Gent 3-0 Larnaca
    Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League Qualifying

    We said: FC Midtjylland 2-1 AEK Larnaca

     Larnaca's pre-season period was characterised by defensive deficiencies countering their attacking prowess, which should therefore make for an entertaining first-leg battle this week. Midtjylland are far more experienced at the top level of European football, and even though off-field issues surrounding Sisto are bedevilling them somewhat, the Danish side should put one foot firmly in the third round this week. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 13.45%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.98%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

    Result
    FC MidtjyllandDrawAEK Larnaca
    63.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 23.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 13.45% (0.038 0.04)
    Both teams to score 38.55% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    41.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    20.98% (0.033000000000001 0.03)79.01% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
    FC Midtjylland Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    50.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)49.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
    AEK Larnaca Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    47.08% (0.086000000000006 0.09)52.91% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    13.4% (0.055 0.05)86.59% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
    Score Analysis
        FC Midtjylland 63.32%
        AEK Larnaca 13.45%
        Draw 23.21%
    FC MidtjyllandDrawAEK Larnaca
    1-0 @ 16.37% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
    2-0 @ 13.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
    2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
    3-0 @ 7.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
    3-1 @ 5.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    4-1 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    3-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
    5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 2.69%
    Total : 63.32%
    		1-1 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 2.83% (0.01 0.01)
    Other @ 0.37%
    Total : 23.21%
    		0-1 @ 6.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    1-2 @ 3.32% (0.011 0.01)
    0-2 @ 1.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
    Other @ 2.09%
    Total : 13.45%

    How you voted: Midtjylland vs Larnaca

    FC Midtjylland
    83.8%
    Draw
    13.2%
    AEK Larnaca
    2.9%
    68
    rhs 2.0
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