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Champions League
Malmo
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
3 - 2
Vikingur

Olsson (16'), Toivonen (42'), Birmancevic (84')
Christiansen (13'), Birmancevic (41'), Rakip (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mani Ingason (38'), Gudjonsson (90+3')
Ekroth (23'), Mani Ingason (29'), Orlygur Andrason (32'), Punyed (34'), Ingason (83')
Mani Ingason (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and Vikingur Reykjavík, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Sundsvall 2-1 Malmo
Friday, July 1 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Vikingur Reykjavík

Last Six:
    Last Game: Inter Escaldes 0-1 Vikingur Reykjavík
    Friday, June 24 at 8.30pm in Champions League

    We said: Malmo 3-1 Vikingur Reykjavík

     Vikingur have done all they can by posting victory after victory in the lead-up to this game, but the greater European pedigree of Malmo will surely become apparent on their own turf. Milojevic's squad has been depleted somewhat by injuries and illness, but the Swedish champions will expect to put one foot firmly in the second round regardless. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

    Result
    MalmoDrawVikingur Reykjavik
    49.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.67%
    Both teams to score 57.24% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    55.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)44.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    33.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
    Malmo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    51.15% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
    Vikingur Reykjavik Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    69.79% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)30.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    33.63% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)66.36% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Malmo 49.52%
        Vikingur Reykjavik 26.67%
        Draw 23.8%
    MalmoDrawVikingur Reykjavik
    2-1 @ 9.57%
    1-0 @ 9.32% (0.012 0.01)
    2-0 @ 7.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    3-0 @ 4.57%
    3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
    4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 3.6%
    Total : 49.52%
    		1-1 @ 11.15%
    2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    0-0 @ 5.43% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
    3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 0.18%
    Total : 23.8%
    		1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    0-1 @ 6.51% (0.008 0.01)
    0-2 @ 3.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.55%
    Other @ 3.09%
    Total : 26.67%

    How you voted: Malmo vs Vikingur Reykjavík

    Malmo
    66.7%
    Draw
    13.1%
    Vikingur Reykjavík
    20.2%
    84
    rhs 2.0
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