MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 21:11:37| >> :60:499:499:
Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Bayern logo

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Bayern

Joselu (88', 90+1')
Camavinga (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davies (68')
Tuchel (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Joselu's dramatic brace sends Real Madrid to the Champions League final at Bayern Munich's expense.

Live Commentary

Sports Mole brings you live text coverage of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich at the Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Bayern Munich.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League semi-final second leg with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, May 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Bayern Munich has a probability of 31.52% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.73%) and 1-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win is 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.03%).

Result
Real MadridDrawBayern Munich
46.67% (-0.245 -0.24) 21.81% (0.146 0.15) 31.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 68.07% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44% (-0.675 -0.67)31.56% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.95% (-0.798 -0.8)53.05% (0.797 0.8)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)14.22% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.655 -0.66)41.96% (0.653 0.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.276 -0.28)20.64% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.437 -0.44)53.21% (0.436 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 46.67%
    Bayern Munich 31.52%
    Draw 21.81%
Real MadridDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.52%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Bayern

Real Madrid
73.5%
Bayern Munich
26.5%
690
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Bayern
2-2
Real Madrid
Sane (53'), Kane (57' pen.)
Mazraoui (43'), Min-jae (82')
Junior (24', 83')
Kroos (64'), Vazquez (90+1')
> Match Report
Jul 21, 2019 1am
Pre-season Friendlies
Bayern
3-1
Real Madrid
> Match Report
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
2-2
Bayern
> Match Report
Apr 25, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Apr 18, 2017 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
4-2
Bayern
> Match Report
Build-up
Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti before the match on March 5, 2024
Real Madrid 'suffer injury scare ahead of Bayern Munich clash'
Real Madrid midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni could allegedly miss Saturday's La Liga clash against Cadiz due to a foot injury.
May 2, 18:33
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti before the match on March 5, 2024
Real Madrid injury update vs. Bayern Munich - key man remains absent
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League semi-final second leg with Bayern Munich.
May 5, 10:35
 Bayern Munich coach Thomas Tuchel reacts on February 14, 2024
Bayern Munich suffer double injury blow ahead of Real Madrid clash
Bayern Munich could be missing Eric Dier for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg against Real Madrid, while Raphael Guerreiro is definitely out.
May 5, 18:30
 Real Madrid goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois on May 28, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Bayern Munich
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Bayern Munich.
May 6, 09:51
 Bayern Munich defender Eric Dier in February 2024.
How Bayern Munich could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg with Real Madrid.
May 6, 10:01
 Bayern Munich's Harry Kane celebrates scoring their first goal on November 24, 2023
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich Combined XI: Kane, Bellingham, Musiala
Ahead of Wednesday's Champions League semi-final second leg between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, Sports Mole picks a combined XI from both squads.
May 6, 17:10
 Real Madrid's Lucas Vazquez celebrates scoring against Barcelona on April 24, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich: How do both sides compare this season?
Ahead of Wednesday's Champions League second-leg showdown between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, Sports Mole takes a look at how both clubs compare across all competitions so far this season.
May 7, 09:00
 Real Madrid's Toni Kroos celebrates their first goal with teammates on April 30, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich: How do both squads compare ahead of Champions League clash?
Ahead of Wednesday's Champions League second-leg showdown between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, Sports Mole takes a look at how the star-studded squads of both clubs compare.
May 7, 08:30
 Bayern Munich coach Thomas Tuchel and Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti before the match on April 30, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich: What the managers have said ahead of Champions League clash
Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti and Bayern Munich boss Thomas Tuchel deliver team news and give their verdicts on the second leg of their Champions League semi-final on Wednesday.
22:51
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti during the press conference on May 7, 2024
Real Madrid missing one player for clash with Bayern Munich
Real Madrid will be missing one first-team player for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final against Bayern Munich.
22:18
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