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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Bristol City

Birmingham's defence has been the leakiest in the Championship since Rooney took charge, and with injuries meaning that they cannot immediately change the personnel in their backline, it could be another scary watch for Bluenoses on Friday. Bristol City will be full of confidence as they head to St Andrew's following their Vicarage Road romp, and although we do not believe that the scoreline will be as convincing, we expect the Robins to earn maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
34.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 26.79% (0.0040000000000013 0) 38.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)53.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.87%
    Bristol City 38.34%
    Draw 26.78%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.87%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
65.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol City
0-2
Birmingham

Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
Dickie (76')
Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bristol City
4-2
Birmingham
Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom541092713
2Sunderland5401124812
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn5320126611
4Burnley5311113810
5Watford531195410
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd53208359
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd53029639
8Derby CountyDerby53028629
9Leeds UnitedLeeds52217438
10Middlesbrough52216428
11Swansea CitySwansea52125327
12Queens Park RangersQPR513178-16
13Hull City613257-26
14Stoke CityStoke620449-56
15Coventry CityCoventry512256-15
16Norwich CityNorwich512246-25
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth512259-45
18Bristol City5122611-55
19Millwall51138804
20Luton TownLuton511337-44
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds5113510-54
22Preston North EndPreston511339-64
23Portsmouth5032611-53
24Cardiff CityCardiff5014111-101


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