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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Dack (48')
Garrett (13'), Hedges (49'), Wharton (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpson (28'), Harris (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff registering so many draws of late, that would ordinarily make a low-scoring stalemate the most obvious result here. However, this is Blackburn we are talking about, and we feel that Rovers will net during the latter stages to maintain their run of no league draws all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
39.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 32.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.027999999999992 0.03)32.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.032 0.03)68.93% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 39.97%
    Cardiff City 32.51%
    Draw 27.51%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
81.1%
Draw
14.9%
Cardiff City
4.1%
74
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-1
Blackburn

Drameh (41'), Ng (59'), Collins (73'), Pack (90+4')
Rothwell (14')
Paul van Hecke (42'), Travis (50'), Lenihan (56'), Nyambe (59'), Gallagher (90'), Kaminski (90+1')
Nyambe (76')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
5-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (24'), Brereton Diaz (32', 45+1', 90' pen.), Dolan (53')
Morrison (58')
Flint (8'), Phillips (89')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
2-2
Blackburn
Vaulks (27'), Ralls (70')
Murphy (44'), Ralls (75')
Armstrong (43', 90')
Kaminski (19'), Lenihan (65')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Blackburn
0-0
Cardiff

Johnson (50'), Gallagher (80')

Cunningham (34'), Bacuna (49'), Tomlin (59')
Tomlin (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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