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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
2 - 0
Cardiff

Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

We anticipate a tense affair at Ashton Gate on Sunday, with limited chances as both sides aim to avoid a derby-day defeat. Bristol City will have more confidence after breaking their winless run last time out, but they face a tough test against a Cardiff side who have enjoyed a positive start, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
41.8% (2.197 2.2) 26.75% (0.323 0.32) 31.45% (-2.519 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.755 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-1.908 -1.91)54.14% (1.91 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-1.62 -1.62)75.56% (1.622 1.62)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.294 0.29)25.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (0.40000000000001 0.4)60.44% (-0.399 -0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-2.637 -2.64)31.8% (2.639 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-3.133 -3.13)68.24% (3.135 3.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.8%
    Cardiff City 31.45%
    Draw 26.75%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.89 0.89)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.665 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.328 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.589 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.402 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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