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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Stoke

Kaba (29')
Ralls (33'), Etete (42'), Sawyers (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laurent (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

Neil will feel that he needs a strong end to the season to keep his job at the bet365 Stadium and Stoke have the quality to prevail from this contest. However, Cardiff turned a corner in midweek, and the extra motivation may lead to them edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
25.89% (-0.177 -0.18) 26.51% (0.102 0.1) 47.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.487 -0.49)55.89% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.397 -0.4)77% (0.39999999999999 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.418 -0.42)37.04% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.419 -0.42)73.83% (0.422 0.42)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)23.5% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.252 -0.25)57.53% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.89%
    Stoke City 47.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.6% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Stoke City
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke

Pack (56')

Allen (88')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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