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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
25.89% ( -0.18) | 26.51% ( 0.1) | 47.6% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.11% ( -0.49) | 55.89% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23% ( -0.4) | 77% ( 0.4) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.96% ( -0.42) | 37.04% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.17% ( -0.42) | 73.83% ( 0.42) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.17) | 23.5% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( -0.25) | 57.53% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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